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submitted by WeDontServeYourKind to Digibyte [link] [comments]
I have been working hard on the front-end of my pool for the past couple of months. Anyone who saw v1.0 will be shocked to see the progress it's made. It now has a fantastic front-end with detailed charts, graphs, and user stats, all in a sleek Bootstrap 4.0 layout.
Miners....come join us at https://Luckyblocks.ninja
I wanted to offer support for all Algo's, and initially, I did. But after talking with DigiByte developers, and taking their advice this was changed to support only Scrypt and SHA256D. Until ProgPOW is implemented GPU mining is pointless, so this ultimately is why I chose Scrypt and SHA256D.
Another feature of the pool is BTC and LTC Solo Mining for any of you guys out there that have some gear that's not profitable to mine with anymore and just want to play the blockchain lottery. Wouldn't it be nice to wake up with 6.25 Bitcoin in your wallet one morning?
General Pool Features are:
PS - Did I mention we're going to give one lucky miner 50,000 DigiByte?
Want to know more about the Giveaway? https://Luckyblocks.ninja/faq
|submitted by Miladran to Bitcoin [link] [comments]|
Hello People,submitted by Suheilaaita to Bitcoin [link] [comments]
Was going over some Publicly listed companies that mine cryptocurrencies and came through this chart below:
Source: Hive Blockchain Technologies LTD; Coinmarketcap.com; blockchain.com
In their Corporate presentation, it was written that they have seized mining bitcoin, mainly due to mining costs that became higher than the reward (un-profitability). Is this something that raises concern over the price and value of a bitcoin? and is this a trend between large mining facilities?
If this is is yet to a be trend at this moment, won't it become one in the next 4,8,12, etc years as more and more halvings are due?
Ignoring other factors, it seems imminent that either bitcoin price skyrockets to match the costs to buy bitcoin, or it flats out mainly due to miners moving towards altcoins. If the latter happens, then, bitcoin transactions won't be processed and it becomes more or less useless.
I am just thinking out loud here, and not trying to be a pessimist or an optimist. What are your views on the matter?
TLDR: Large-scale mining companies seize mining BTC, is this a trend? If BTC price doesn't accommodate the cost to mine, then BTC price might go flat. Do you agree, or disagree? Why?
Source of presentation and info: https://www.hiveblockchain.com/investors/presentation
Disclaimer: I am in no way advocating or not advocating that company, but merely presenting some information I came by.
Below are notable difficulty adjustments when hash rate fell and block times become slower for Bitcoin.submitted by theforwardbrain to Bitcoin [link] [comments]
We are 1 day 10 hours from the next difficulty adjustment. Projected difficulty adjustment is -5.61% (https://fork.lol/pow/retarget), which could indicate a small dip. However, take note that the date of last adjustment was the 5th and the 3rd halving was on the 11th, between the 5th to the 11th there was increased hashrate from miners trying to mine the final week of 12.5btc that offset the really slow block times after the halving. Therefore it will be the next difficulty adjustment after the one on the 20th that will completely reflect the slower block times after the halving. Currently the median block time taken on the 17th was around 14min (-28.5% difficulty adjustment).
For people who do not understand blockchain, basically with the Bitcoin 3rd halving, mining profitability fell for a lot of miners and they probably turned off their miners therefore the blockchain mining time became considerably slower which is reflected with slow transaction speed and higher fees as seen currently. Bitcoin sellers moving their BTC from wallet to an exchange are faced with slow transaction speed and therefore the sell pressure of BTC fell considerably which will attribute to the current price increase. There is a correlation between sell pressure and blockchain congestion (the size of the correlation is undetermined).
There is going to be a race. A race between BTC price hiking high enough to attract more miners to reduce avg block times versus the closing window of roughly 2 weeks before the next difficulty adjustment. If the price does not jump high enough, the next difficulty adjustment in the first week of June could signal a huge dip.
I am not an expert. I just did some research on the above and wanted to share with fellow Bitcoin compatriots so that we can tread with caution and not lose our shirts. I do not plan to short BTC but I will exit my BTC positions if I expect double digit negative difficulty adjustment in early June.
Bitcoin 2nd halving evidence:
2nd halving falls between the 5th and the 19th adjustment so it is only reflected on the 3rd of Aug difficulty adjustment ( -5.43%).
See the dip on the 3rd of August. Price fell from $600 to $533 about 11% drop.
Update 1:>! As of writing, I have opened a small short position on Bitcoin. Stop loss around 10k, estimated take profit around 8500. The reason is because the difficulty adjustment in the next 20 hours, even though is just -5% roughly is still significant. I direct you to look into all the difficulty adjustments in the last 2 years and you will know how rare it is. The ones I caught were all listed at the very top of the post. Since it is my first time shorting BTC, I take this as a learning opportunity so that I will have some experience to face the bigger difficulty adjustment in the first week of June. Analysis into execution, even in failure I am happy.!<
Update 2: The difficulty adjustment (DA) happened roughly 6 hours ago and the sell pressure from -6% DA did not seem to be affecting the market much. However, please take a look now at the estimation for the next DA.
On https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/ it is estimated to be -25%.
On https://fork.lol/pow/retarget estimated to be -18%.
On https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time the median block time for the last day was 16.8min.
My original proposition that the true DA of the halving can only be realized in the next DA stands and that it will be considerable. The increased sell pressure from that DA will be highly significant. That is why there is a race by current miners to get the BTC price up high enough to attract more miners to not have the DA drop too much.
Difficulty adjustment dates taken from https://btc.com/stats/diff
Bitcoin graph history for price movement taken from coinmarketcap.
Median confirmation time (block time) taken from https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time
Credits to people who assisted the analysis:
kairepaire for pointing out faster block times between 5th-11th.
babies_eater for https://fork.lol/pow/retarget
moes_tavern_wifi for https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Pantamis for https://diff.cryptothis.com/
This is a chart I made up that roughly correlates Bitcoin market cap to Bitcoin mining costs. It is "normalized" through the halvenings. It definitely shows a downward trend. The "normalization" for halvenings applies a 100% coefficent post 2020 halvening, a 50% coefficent after the 2016 halvening and a 25% coefficent before the 2016 halvening.submitted by brianddk to Bitcoin [link] [comments]
The formula sprung from a discussion I was having on BTC wealth redistribution, and how the BTC holders rely on the miners to secure the chain. The counter argument was that the holders could just pay for the mining themselves.
Since bitcoin is non-inflationary, this could be thought of as a type of negative interest rate. If every holder had to offer a 100% subsidy to the miners to maintain the blockchain, what would that look like in the terms of a continual interest rate. So here's the formula.
Continual Interest function: A = P*exp(r*t) ln(A) = ln(P) + rt r = ln(A) / ln(P) / t r = ln(A/P) / t # (where t = 1/365, aka one day) r = ln(1 + I/P) / t # (where A/P = 1+I/P; with 'I' being pct growth interest = norm_coef * ln(1 + daily_mining_cost / btc_market_cap) * 365The datasource is from bitinfocharts.com referencing "Market Capitalization", "Hashrate" and "Mining Profitability" fields. "Daily Mining Cost" is derived by "Profitability * Hashrate" once correcting for unit scales.
So why is it after normalizing for the halvenings this interest function is on a negative trend over the last 5 years?
Interest -v- Date
Wikipedia Commodity channel indexsubmitted by AlGo- to TSLab [link] [comments]
Commodity Index indicator is very simple in fact, though it has such a fancy name. Indicators in TSLab are based on C#. For those who have programming skills we provide API and indicator code samples at our Forum. CCI is available in TSLab as other indicators as well, but I would like to demonstrate a self-made one built according to wiki formulas. It is very easy to build new indicators by means of TSLab. CCI consists of Typical Price and Simple Moving Average. TSLab already has all to create CCI, but I showed in the indicator how to create Typical Price and Simple Moving Average. I urge you to study indicators. Making changes to indicators you get a chance to create a better one. Here is a customized CCI indicator. I applied adaptive moving average instead of simple moving average. And I applied exponential average instead of typical price. The chart in the middle shows the original CCI and the self-made one. As you may see their values are identical, as CCI in TSLab is done as it is described in wiki.
The lowest chart shows the customized indicator. It has clearly seen divergences.
Though it is not so unstable as the original one, it seems to be more flat. Wiki offers 2 types of strategies, saying that there are different points of view on this indicator. To build these strategies I am going to use my customized indicator instead of the original one. Some people think that in case with long positions we should buy, when CCI is higher than 100 and sell, when it is lower than 100. And for short positions – Sell when CCI is lower than -100 and close a short position, when CCI is higher than -100. For example this strategy doesn’t seem to be profitable with bitcoin at all.
Other people recommend using zero value as a signal calling this strategy Zero CCI. It means - buy (open a long position or close a short position), when Commodity Index is higher than zero or sell (close a long position, open a short position), when CCI is below zero.
Let’s build a script which comprises both variants and resolve the dispute by means of optimization. If we think a bit we can see that there is one more strategy besides these two, this is to use average of CCI instead of signal lines. And we can at least combine all three strategies together. For example, we can enter a position at about zero point. And close long positions when CCI crosses its average, when the indicator is higher than 100 and lower than -100 for short positions. My customized indicator won’t do for this strategy because of divergences. The original one won’t do either as it is not stable and there can be many false signals. Try to create an indicator as flat as mine or even better but with fewer divergences.
Good luck to everyone!
|submitted by MemoryDealers to btc [link] [comments]|
Accurate Bitcoin mining calculator trusted by millions of cryptocurrency miners since May 2013 - developed by an OG Bitcoin miner looking to maximize on mining profits and calculate ROI for new ASIC miners. Updated in 2020, the newest version of the Bitcoin mining calculator makes it simple and easy to quickly calculate mining profitability for your Bitcoin mining hardware. Calculate Bitcoin (BTC) mining profitability in realtime based on hashrate, power consumption and electricity cost. BTC exchange rates, mining pools. BTC exchange rates, mining pools. $12,976.61 $62.75 $412.92 $126.63 $5.37 $72.44 $55.67 Follow @WhatToMine dark mode Bitcoin Cash Mining Profitability USD/Day for 1 THash/s Chart Should the price of bitcoin stay stable at its current level of $11,000 and should the bitcoin mining difficulty remain steady at 2,874,674,234,416 GH/s, according to the CoinWarz Bitcoin Mining Profitability Calculator, it would take you 372 days to break even and 879 days to mine one whole bitcoin. The annual income, using the above-mentioned assumptions of price and mining difficulty ... The Bitcoin difficulty chart provides the current Bitcoin difficulty (BTC diff) target as well as a historical data graph visualizing Bitcoin mining difficulty chart values with BTC difficulty adjustments (both increases and decreases) defaulted to today with timeline options of 1 day, 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 3 years, and all time
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